Matelica Calcio vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
ASD
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAT
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAT
45%
25%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
REC
2 - 2
CIV
25%
25%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 4
REC
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
REC
0 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
3 - 0
REC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
REC
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |