Matelica Calcio vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAT
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
CIV
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 3
FER
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 1
MON
36%
24%
39%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ASD
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |