Matelica Calcio vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAT
1 - 2
MAT
12%
18%
70%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
REC
1 - 2
MAT
33%
27%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
OLY
79%
15%
7%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MAT
4 - 0
ASD
72%
18%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SEL
0 - 4
MAT
15%
20%
65%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
OLY
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
ASD
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SEL
1 - 2
MON
20%
21%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
UST
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 4
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |