Matelica Calcio vs Maceratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ASB
0 - 2
MAT
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
JES
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIS
2 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
AMI
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 0
FCC
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 1
MAC
34%
25%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
MAC
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |