Matelica Calcio vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
MAT
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
OLY
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAN
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
1 - 1
MAT
46%
24%
31%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
CAM
49%
24%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FCV
3 - 0
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
USP
38%
29%
33%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ACS
3 - 3
FOL
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |