Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
AMI
71%
18%
10%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JES
0 - 1
MAT
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
TER
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CIV
1 - 0
MAT
19%
25%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
20%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
VIS
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REC
2 - 0
FER
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
SAN
77%
15%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |