Matelica Calcio vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
MAT
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
ISE
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FAN
1 - 0
MAT
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 1
REC
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
GIU
2 - 1
MAT
19%
25%
56%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
OLY
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CIV
0 - 0
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
RCA
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TER
3 - 0
FER
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
FCC
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |