Matelica Calcio vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
FAN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FCC
2 - 1
MAT
20%
22%
58%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 0
OLY
76%
15%
10%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAT
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
GIU
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIV
30%
23%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAM
52%
26%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
CIV
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CIV
4 - 1
AMI
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
JES
5 - 2
CIV
33%
26%
42%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |