Matelica Calcio vs Vastogirardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
JES
1 - 3
MAT
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 1
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 1
MAT
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAT
4 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 1
MAT
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 2
OLY
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 3
VAS
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 0
SEL
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UST
2 - 2
VAS
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
USF
3 - 1
VAS
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |