Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Matelica Calcio vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 3
MAT
18%
26%
57%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
MAT
29%
27%
44%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAT
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 2
SER
78%
16%
6%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PON
2 - 3
MAN
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
PRO
58%
24%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
LEG
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAT
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |