Matela AD vs Parga CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matela AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAT
31%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
COD
68%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAT
2 - 2
MAT
30%
23%
47%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2015 |
SRO
0 - 3
MAT
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
FOL
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parga CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
CSA
35%
24%
41%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOM
1 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ROU
1 - 0
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEL
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COD
0 - 0
PAR
31%
24%
46%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |