Matebele FC vs Botswana Defence Force XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matebele FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
VTM
2 - 0
MFC
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 3
GAB
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 0
MFC
48%
22%
29%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
2 - 2
TOW
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
NIC
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana Defence Force XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 2
NIC
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
EXT
0 - 4
BOT
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 2
MOW
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
ORA
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SES
1 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |