Matara vs Saunders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
SUP
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 1
BLU
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
MAT
3 - 1
JAV
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
COL
4 - 1
MAT
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
RSC
2 - 3
MAT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saunders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 0
NAV
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
SAU
58%
22%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
NEG
1 - 2
SAU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
SAU
4 - 0
SUP
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
JAV
2 - 0
SAU
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |