Matara vs Army analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CRY
4 - 1
MAT
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 2
THI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 0
NAV
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
YOU
2 - 1
MAT
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 3
NEG
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Army
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ARM
6 - 0
BLU
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
ARM
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 1
REN
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARM
4 - 1
NAV
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CRY
2 - 2
ARM
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |