Masters Security vs Kamuzu Barracks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Masters Security
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
MSS
3 - 1
KUN
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EPA
2 - 2
MSS
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MZU
2 - 0
MSS
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MOY
1 - 1
MSS
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MSS
3 - 1
NCH
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kamuzu Barracks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KAM
0 - 0
BLU
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
KAM
0 - 1
SIL
28%
28%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
KUN
1 - 2
KAM
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KAM
0 - 2
MZU
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
BUL
6 - 0
KAM
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |