Maspalomas vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
43.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PDS
5 - 1
MAS
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
ING
51%
24%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SNI
4 - 0
MAS
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAS
5 - 2
BLP
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 0
MAS
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
COT
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
1 - 0
COS
24%
21%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
TIN
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
2 - 0
COS
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
COS
2 - 4
TEL
36%
23%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |