Maspalomas vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UDL
4 - 0
MAS
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
MAS
3 - 2
BEC
71%
16%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
SPM
2 - 0
MAS
12%
17%
71%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 1
VIC
85%
11%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MAS
2 - 1
VEC
68%
18%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
COS
0 - 2
CFP
46%
22%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TER
2 - 1
COS
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
COS
2 - 1
UDG
44%
22%
34%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
UDB
3 - 1
COS
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDS
2 - 2
COS
75%
14%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |