Mash' al vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
4º
22
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ORO
1 - 0
MAS
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
FKL
17%
25%
58%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 2
MAS
12%
20%
69%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
PFK
79%
15%
7%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
URF
2 - 3
MAS
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
XOR
0 - 0
SHO
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
GIJ
0 - 3
XOR
10%
17%
73%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
XOR
0 - 0
QOQ
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DSA
4 - 0
XOR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
XOR
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |