Mash' al vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AND
2 - 3
MAS
46%
24%
30%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
FKL
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TER
3 - 1
MAS
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MAS
1 - 1
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAS
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NEF
1 - 1
PAK
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TTA
1 - 3
NEF
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
AND
2 - 3
NEF
45%
24%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NEF
4 - 0
FKL
66%
19%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
NEF
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |