Marz vs Sigleß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUS
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
6 - 2
SCO
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
OBE
3 - 1
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
KLI
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
STI
1 - 5
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sigleß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
SIG
0 - 1
KLI
18%
22%
60%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |