Maruinense vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
OSE
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
4 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
ITA
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 0
AME
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SER
5 - 1
RFC
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 22 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 2
SER
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
SER
2 - 0
BOC
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 29 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 3
SER
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LAG
3 - 3
SER
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |