Sergipano 2 Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Maruinense vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
1 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOQ
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
BOQ
1 - 2
MAR
38%
23%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
SOC
0 - 1
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
SOC
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
1 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
3 - 0
ADB
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
ADB
2 - 2
OSE
25%
23%
53%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
3 - 0
INS
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
BOQ
0 - 0
OSE
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |