Maruinense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
53.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
AFP
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SER
3 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 3
ATG
46%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
7 - 2
AMP
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
1 - 1
ITA
28%
26%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
ITA
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |