Maruinense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
MAR
82%
13%
5%
|
23 | 61 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 0
AME
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 3
RFC
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LAG
2 - 2
ITA
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 0
OSE
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
AME
0 - 1
ITA
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 0
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |