Martigny vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
56.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 2
MAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCM
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
LAN
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 4
LAU
19%
21%
60%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ODG
0 - 2
MAR
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
THU
1 - 1
BUL
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
THU
5 - 1
CSC
53%
21%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
THU
3 - 0
DOR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MOU
2 - 2
THU
33%
22%
46%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
THU
0 - 0
FCS
81%
12%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |