Martigny vs Perly-Certoux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
15º
3º
34
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
4 - 0
MAR
51%
21%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
SER
7%
15%
79%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NAT
2 - 1
MAR
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 2
MEY
16%
21%
62%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCC
0 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
PER
0 - 5
STA
7%
13%
80%
|
23 | 59 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
PER
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
SBC
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BEX
0 - 3
PER
24%
22%
55%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
INT
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |