Martigny vs Fribourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 2
MEY
18%
21%
61%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FCA
5 - 1
MAR
24%
21%
56%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
POR
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
YOU
26%
23%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 1
MAR
44%
21%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fribourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 1
ETO
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FRI
4 - 2
YOU
13%
19%
67%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +4 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ETO
6 - 1
FRI
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FRI
0 - 3
LAU
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DUD
3 - 1
FRI
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |