Marte CD vs C.D. Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
15%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
CIU
21%
20%
60%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
9 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LIC
0 - 3
MAR
41%
21%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ORZ
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
C.D. Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 4
SIQ
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OZA
3 - 0
SAR
68%
18%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 5
REL
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 5
SCD
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 4
ESP
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |