Marte CD vs Universidade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
MAR
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
ESP
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CIU
4 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
COC
0 - 1
MAR
45%
22%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
LIC
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Universidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
CDC
85%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
UNI
48%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
8 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
SIQ
33%
22%
45%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OZA
1 - 3
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |