Marte CD vs Atlético dos Castros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
47.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marte CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 8
ESP
23%
22%
56%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ORZ
0 - 2
MAR
39%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
CCO
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
39%
21%
41%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 2
SPO
38%
21%
42%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético dos Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
OZA
0 - 3
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
7 - 1
GAL
40%
21%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
MRD
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SAR
8 - 2
CAS
43%
20%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ESP
3 - 1
CAS
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |