Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SDE
0 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOU
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
TAM
23%
22%
56%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 1
MAR
76%
17%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PAU
1 - 1
ASS
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PIE
4 - 0
PAU
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
SDE
1 - 0
PAU
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
PAU
0 - 0
LOU
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
CAP
2 - 1
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |