Marsouins vs Saint-Pauloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 2
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
SDF
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PIE
3 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOU
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
JEA
1 - 0
MAR
51%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAU
52%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PAU
1 - 2
SAI
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
SDF
1 - 0
PAU
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 4
PIE
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PET
2 - 3
PAU
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |