Marsouins vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
EXC
5 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDE
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PAU
5 - 3
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -5 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASS
46%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +5 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 0
PAU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SDF
2 - 2
CAP
43%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 1
PET
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAP
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 0
PAU
44%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |