Marsouins vs La Capricorne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2014 |
PIE
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAI
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PAU
2 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Capricorne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
PET
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 1
CAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JEA
2 - 1
CAP
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 1
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |