Marsouins vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASS
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PAU
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
SAI
23%
24%
54%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +4 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SDF
2 - 2
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 5
PIE
11%
20%
68%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
PAU
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ASS
3 - 0
EXC
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
SDF
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PIE
0 - 1
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 1
PET
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |