Marsouins vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIE
1 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
PSL
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JEA
3 - 1
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAI
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 2
MAR
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
CAP
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIE
2 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
LIL
4 - 1
EXC
83%
15%
2%
|
30 | 82 | 52 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PET
3 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 1
FCM
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |