Marsouins vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+165%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
SDE
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAP
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAU
3 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
BRA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SAI
1 - 0
MAR
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 0
PIE
51%
26%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
BRA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SDE
0 - 0
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
PAU
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |