Marsouins vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+184%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BEN
0 - 3
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
PET
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
PIE
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
PAU
1 - 0
EXC
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
4 - 0
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 2
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PET
0 - 0
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |