Marsouins vs Petite-Île analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsouins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
MAR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 0
MAR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
PIE
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SAI
2 - 3
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAU
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Petite-Île
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PET
0 - 2
PIE
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
JEA
3 - 0
PET
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PET
0 - 0
CAP
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
PET
53%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PET
1 - 5
PIE
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |