Marsonia vs NK Trnje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
15º
13º
35
7º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2025 |
KAR
6 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
MAR
3 - 1
BJE
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
HDR
5 - 1
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
ULJ
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
JAD
4 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
NK Trnje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TRN
3 - 1
SOL
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
JAP
1 - 2
TRN
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NKG
1 - 0
TRN
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
TRN
0 - 4
KAR
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BJE
2 - 3
TRN
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |