Marsonia vs Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MOS
1 - 3
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
POM
0 - 0
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 0
NKC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
VRB
0 - 0
MAR
15%
23%
62%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPL
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
SPL
3 - 2
NKC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
ZAG
4 - 1
SPL
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
SPL
0 - 0
SOL
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1999 |
BJE
3 - 2
SPL
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |