Marsonia vs NAŠK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NOO
2 - 4
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
ORI
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
NMC
42%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
6 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
NAŠK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NAS
0 - 0
MLA
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
NAS
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAS
2 - 1
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 0
NAS
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
NAS
1 - 5
BIJ
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |