Marsonia vs Jadran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
15º
13º
12
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
74% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
74% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
44% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TRN
5 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
KAR
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BJE
4 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 3
HDR
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ULJ
3 - 4
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 1
SOL
18%
22%
61%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 1
NKG
19%
21%
61%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRN
3 - 1
JAP
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
KAR
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BJE
7 - 2
JAP
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |