Marsonia vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
68.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NKD
5 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 59 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
JUN
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SOL
3 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
IMO
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NKR
5 - 0
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HDR
2 - 1
HNG
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
3 - 0
HDR
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
HDR
2 - 1
HAS
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
HAS
2 - 1
HDR
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NKC
0 - 2
HDR
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |