Marsonia vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
INT
1 - 1
MAR
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 2
KIV
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
ZAG
2 - 3
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
HKS
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SLA
3 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
HNK
0 - 0
HKS
26%
25%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
HNK
0 - 1
DZG
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
NKV
1 - 0
HNK
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAD
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
HNK
1 - 0
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |