Marsonia vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
HNS
4 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
ZAG
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 1
SEG
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1995 |
INT
0 - 2
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
MAR
0 - 0
HKS
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
HNK
2 - 1
ZAG
28%
30%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1995 |
SEG
3 - 1
HNK
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
HNK
2 - 2
INT
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1995 |
HKS
4 - 1
HNK
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
HNK
2 - 0
OSI
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |