Marslev vs Tarup-Paarup analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
72.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tarup-Paarup
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
B19
2 - 1
TAR
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
TAR
2 - 4
SVE
18%
21%
61%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 3
VEJ
10%
16%
74%
|
25 | 67 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
TAR
1 - 5
MAR
16%
20%
64%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
HAD
2 - 3
TAR
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |