Marske United vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
SPE
6 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
WAR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
2 - 3
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
OUF
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CIT
4 - 1
PON
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
PIC
2 - 3
PON
19%
19%
62%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BRI
2 - 0
PON
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 4
WOR
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
COL
6 - 2
PON
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |