Marske United vs Pontefract Collieries analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CLE
0 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 0
MAR
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
5 - 0
LIN
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
STO
0 - 0
MAR
22%
20%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
LOU
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pontefract Collieries
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
STO
0 - 5
PON
26%
20%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 0
WIS
70%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SPA
7 - 3
PON
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -3 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
PON
4 - 2
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CLE
4 - 2
PON
46%
21%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |