FA Cup
Global 2-4
Marske United vs Dunston UTS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 2
HAL
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRI
0 - 3
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALB
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HEB
1 - 2
MAR
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
CON
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Dunston UTS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
JAR
0 - 0
DUN
18%
21%
62%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
PIC
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | +1 |